10 Spot Keno Strategy

4/3/2022

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Introduction

Bonus Spot Keno is a keno variant I noticed at the Rampart casino in Las Vegas on January 15, 2016. It plays the same way as conventional keno, except the player is paid more if the first number he chooses matches a ball draw.

Rules

The player chooses 2 to 10 numbers from the range of 1 to 80.
The first number chosen shall be marked as the 'Bonus Spot,' but the player may change one of his other choices to the Bonus Spot instead by touching the screen.
The game shall draw 20 numbers at random from 1 to 80.
The player shall be paid, in part, according to how many of his chosen numbers match the 20-ball draw by the game.
If the Bonus Spot matches one of the 20 numbers drawn by the game, then the player will be paid from the Bonus Spot pay table. Otherwise, he will be paid from the Standard pay table, which pays equal or less for every win.

Analysis

The following pay tables are from the 5-cent game at the Rampart casino. The first is the Standard pay table and the second is the Bonus pay table.

Standard Pay Table

Catch	Pick 2	Pick 3	Pick 4	Pick 5	Pick 6	Pick 7	Pick 8	Pick 9	Pick 10
0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	15	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	47	3	2	2	0	0	0	0
4	100	10	2	1	1	0	0
5	820	50	18	10	5	3
6	1,500	240	70	25	14
7	7,500	1,000	250	90
8	10,000	4,000	800
9	10,000	4,000
10	10,000

Bonus Pay Table

Catch	Pick 2	Pick 3	Pick 4	Pick 5	Pick 6	Pick 7	Pick 8	Pick 9	Pick 10
0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	15	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	47	7	3	3	1	0	0	0
4	100	12	6	3	2	2	0
5	820	80	30	14	7	8
6	1,500	415	90	47	24
7	7,500	1,900	350	152
8	10,000	5,000	1,000
9	10,000	5,000
10	10,000

The next table shows the weighted average win for each number of picks and catches after considering the probability of matching the Bonus Spot.

Weighted Average Pay Table

Catch	Pick 2	Pick 3	Pick 4	Pick 5	Pick 6	Pick 7	Pick 8	Pick 9	Pick 10
0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
1	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
2	15.00	1.67	1.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
3	47.00	6.00	2.60	2.50	0.43	0.00	0.00	0.00
4	100.00	11.60	4.67	2.14	1.50	0.89	0.00
5	820.00	75.00	26.57	12.50	6.11	5.50
6	1500.00	390.00	85.00	39.67	20.00
7	7500.00	1787.50	327.78	133.40
8	10000.00	4888.89	960.00
9	10000.00	4900.00
10	10000.00

The next table shows the probability of each combination of picks and catches.

Probability

Catch	Pick 2	Pick 3	Pick 4	Pick 5	Pick 6	Pick 7	Pick 8	Pick 9	Pick 10
0	0.560127	0.416504	0.308321	0.227184	0.166602	0.121574	0.08826624	0.06374784	0.04579070
1	0.379747	0.430867	0.432732	0.405686	0.363495	0.315193	0.26646411	0.22066559	0.17957138
2	0.060127	0.138754	0.212635	0.270457	0.308321	0.326654	0.32814562	0.31642614	0.29525678
3	0.013875	0.043248	0.083935	0.129820	0.174993	0.21478623	0.24610922	0.26740237
4	0.003063	0.012092	0.028538	0.052191	0.08150370	0.11410518	0.14731890
5	0.000645	0.003096	0.008639	0.01830259	0.03260148	0.05142769
6	0.000129	0.000732	0.00236671	0.00571956	0.01147939
7	0.000024	0.00016046	0.00059168	0.00161114
8	0.00000435	0.00003259	0.00013542
9	0.00000072	0.00000612
10	0.00000011
Total	1.000000	1.000000	1.000000	1.000000	1.000000	1.000000	1.00000000	1.00000000	1.00000000

The final table shows the contribution to the return of each combination of picks and catches, which is the product of the probability and weighted average win tables above. The bottom row shows the overall return.

Return

Catch	Pick 2	Pick 3	Pick 4	Pick 5	Pick 6	Pick 7	Pick 8	Pick 9	Pick 10
0	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
1	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
2	0.901899	0.231256	0.318953	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
3	0.652142	0.259487	0.218231	0.324549	0.074997	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
4	0.306339	0.140271	0.133177	0.111838	0.122256	0.101427	0.000000
5	0.528838	0.232173	0.229537	0.228782	0.199231	0.282852
6	0.193477	0.285510	0.201171	0.226876	0.229588
7	0.183019	0.286814	0.193939	0.214926
8	0.043457	0.159341	0.130003
9	0.007243	0.029991
10	0.001122
Total	0.901899	0.883398	0.884780	0.887341	0.883376	0.884901	0.882479	0.888057	0.888483

The best odds, based on the Rampart 5-cent pay tables, is on the pick-2 at 90.19%.

Written by:Michael Shackleford

My wife and I left for the casino at 6:00 AM Easter Sunday morning. We’ve been so busy lately that we haven’t had the chance to play in several months. So we were excited to finally get out of the house to enjoy gambling together. She plays short video poker and I play short video keno.

The night before I used the Mystic Keno Charts to set up my plays for the different Four Card Keno spots. What I do is get on the computer and go to the Free Video Poker & Keno page where I play for a while and decide on my base numbers. Then I use the charts to reduce the different base numbers to the individual spots. I usually plan numbers for the 4, 5, 6 and 7 spots. I copy the numbers to my cell phone and I’m all set.

As I said, we were particularly excited on this particular morning. My wife’s great mood brought her good luck. She was doing quite well with her double double bonus video poker. She was hitting her four of a kinds right on time and was hardly putting any money into her machine. But I wasn’t doing so good at first. I was playing my 5 spot numbers and nothing was falling my way. But I knew I just had to hold out until it did.

Finally, after 45 minutes or so (and reloading the video keno machine several times) things began to change. I picked up my first 5 spot on card B and about 20 minutes later I hit a double on B and C ( I love those Mystic Keno Charts!). So now I’m feeling pretty good and just played freely with my winnings and having fun. But before I knew it, we only had 30 minutes left in our session.

Live Keno Strategy

So I switched to my 7 spot numbers. And it started. Bam – a double 5 out of seven. Then another. Bam a 6 out of seven. It was happening. I could feel it. Bam – another 5 out of 7 and then another double. I just knew that 7 spot was just about ready to pop.

Then my wife looked over at me and pointed to her watch. That, of course, meant that it was time to go. But no, I thought. My 7 spot was coming. Any minuet. She cashed out and that’s when I knew it was over. And I was doing so good!

Our maximum session time is three hours and we had reached it. That’s the way we play. Win, lose or draw. It was exciting to see all the 5 out of sevens and the double hits. And the two 6 out of sevens was just crazy. But the fact is that I was no closer to hitting the seven spot than I was on the first game. I could have played on all day and never hit it. And if I wasn’t hitting anything at all, I could have argued that a big payout was ‘due.’